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Bitcoin Bounces, But Where Does It Go Next? Here’s What the Charts Say

Bitcoin Bounces, But Where Does It Go Next? Here’s What the Charts Say
Default Door Remote - 16 Oct 2026
In brief

Bitcoin has bounced after a Thursday dip brought it under $80,000 for the first time in over a month.

Alts are having a better day as well: Zcash jumped 10.29%, Ethereum rose 4.17%, and Solana is up 3.02%.

Where does the crypto market go next? Here's what the charts are saying right now.

Bitcoin is trading at $82,295, up 1.28% in 24 hours, after a Thursday slide below $80,000, its first dip under that level in more than a month. Ethereum gained 4.17% to $2,473.17, Solana rose 3.02%, and XRP added 2.03%.

Zcash is the strongest of the top 15 largest coins, jumping 10.29% to $1,222.02, lifting its market cap to $20.67 billion, and roughly erasing the almost 10% it lost on Thursday.

Myriad: How low will Bitcoin go? Click to make your prediction.In general, the market is bouncing today after spending most of the week heading in the other direction.

Thursday's drop triggered $948 million in liquidations, 90.6% of them longs, per CoinGlass data. A liquidation is the forced closing of a trade placed with borrowed money after losses wipe out the collateral, and a long is a bet on rising prices, so the selling feeds on itself.

On the daily chart, Bitcoin hugs an important resistance market of $81,603, a level traders draw between a major low and high to estimate where pullbacks find buyers. Thursday's wick to $79,711 dipped under it and under the 50-day exponential moving average, or EMA, a line weighting recent prices more heavily, now at $80,407.

Bitcoin price data. Image: TradingviewThe 200-day EMA sits at $75,759, about 8% below the current price, and with the 50-day above it, the long-term trend still reads bullish.

The Average Directional Index, or ADX, which measures trend strength without direction, reads 25.5, barely above the 25 line that confirms a trend, and sellers (DI-) lead buyers (DI+). The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, is a 0-to-100 momentum gauge where 70 is overbought and 30 oversold. That’s at 48.9, neutral with a slight lean to sellers.

BitcoinBTC · USD$81,559−1.28%24H7D1M1YYTDOct 10Oct 11Oct 13Oct 15Oct 17$84.2k$82.9k$81.5k$80.2k24h HighHigh$82,81624h LowLow$80,761VolVol$1.1BMarket projectionsOdds by MyriadToday$80,000 to $82,000$80k–$82k60% chanceThis week$80,000 to $82,000$80k–$82k60% chance→Buy Bitcoin with USDTPowered by Jupiter$50$100$500BuyPrice data by CoinGeckoCoinGeckoMore Bitcoin news and projections →On Myriad, the prediction market built by Decrypt's parent company Dastan, traders are placing odds at 31% that Bitcoin hits a high of $87,500 in October down from 45% on Tuesday. In a separate market, Myriad traders say there's now a 43% chance BTC falls to $77,500.

The bullish scenario needs buyers to defend $81,603 and close above $84,246, opening $85,301, $86,644 and the $87,423 high, ideally with a rising ADX as confirmation.

The sideways scenario keeps Bitcoin between the $80,365 swing low and $84,246. The bearish scenario starts with a daily close below $81,603, putting $80,407 and $80,365 in play, then $78,003 and the $75,759 to $75,093 zone where the 200-day EMA meets the 50% retracement.

Disclaimer

The views and opinions expressed by the author are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, or other advice.

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